![]() ![]() ![]() This should be a fun one, as it is a toss-up between four teams. Big Sky Conference Tournament Projection Team I miss when this tournament was early and opened the conference tournament chaos. ![]() If Wyoming (75th) falls early, does it still make the NCAA Tournament? What if Utah State (68th) makes a surprise run? As of now, the Mountain West will have four teams in the Big Dance, but this tournament could shift that to three teams or five. This tournament is always one to watch out for bubble teams. Winners or not, they will be in the NCAA Tournament. However, TRACR projects the Rams to have the third-highest chance of winning the Mountain West tournament. Who are the favorites? Who might surprise? This week is going to rock.Ĭolorado State (45th) is the lone team from the Mountain West that is ranked in the AP Poll (23rd). The model, which is trained on over 15 years of college basketball data, rewards big wins over good teams and punishes losses to bad ones or even wins that were closer than expected. We’ll do this using TRACR (Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster), our net efficiency metric that evaluates how well teams perform based on who they play. Some of these tournaments will finish up next week, but let’s take a look at the tourneys that begin this week and which team is projected to win. The Racers and Ramblers made it, while the Eagles lost to the second-highest rated team, Longwood (125th), in the championship game. Last week, TRACR projected Murray State ( 46th in TRACR) to win the Ohio Valley Tournament, Loyola Chicago (16th) to win Arch Madness and Winthrop (166th) to narrowly win the Big South Tournament. There are 29 others that have a chance to get an automatic bid. Three teams have already punched their ticket to the NCAA Tournament. ![]()
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